Menifee, Kentucky — Presidential Election Results
Menifee, Kentucky has voted Republican in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2012. In 2024, it was 27.8 pts more Rep. than Kentucky overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Kentucky |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,170 | 52.0% | 5.9 pts (132 votes) | 2,249 | — | 9.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 1,284 | 50.8% | 2.7 pts (69 votes) | 2,528 | +8.7 pts | 22.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 1,276 | 51.3% | 4.9 pts (121 votes) | 2,489 | +2.2 pts | 21.4 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 1,484 | 57.1% | 16.8 pts (436 votes) | 2,598 | -22.2 pts | 5.9 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 2,010 | 72.3% | 47.1 pts (1,310 votes) | 2,779 | -31.1 pts | 17.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 2,311 | 74.5% | 50.3 pts (1,561 votes) | 3,102 | -2.7 pts | 24.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 2,563 | 77.8% | 57.7 pts (1,899 votes) | 3,294 | -7.9 pts | 27.8 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 6,565 | 34.3% of population |
| 2004 | 6,597 | 38.3% of population |
| 2008 | 6,457 | 38.5% of population |
| 2012 | 6,338 | 41.0% of population |
| 2016 | 6,449 | 43.1% of population |
| 2020 | 6,142 | 50.5% of population |
| 2024 | 6,341 | 51.9% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Menifee shifted 52.9 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Menifee has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Kentucky Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Menifee voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Menifee has voted Democratic in 2 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 5 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Menifee?
Menifee's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when John Kerry (Democratic) won by 2.8 points (69 votes) out of 2,528 total votes cast.
Has Menifee ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Menifee changed which party won the county in: 2004, 2012, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Menifee?
The widest margin on record for Menifee was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 58.8 points.
How many votes were cast in Menifee relative to its population?
In 2024, 3,294 votes were recorded in Menifee against a total population of 6,341 (51.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Menifee a presidential bellwether county?
Menifee has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%).