Magoffin, Kentucky — Presidential Election Results
Magoffin, Kentucky has voted Republican in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2008. In 2024, it was 34.0 pts more Rep. than Kentucky overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Kentucky |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,785 | 51.1% | 3.3 pts (182 votes) | 5,453 | — | 12.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 2,843 | 49.7% | 0.1 pts (7 votes) | 5,718 | +3.5 pts | 20.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 2,434 | 52.3% | 7.1 pts (329 votes) | 4,651 | -7.4 pts | 9.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 3,391 | 69.1% | 39.9 pts (1,958 votes) | 4,906 | -33.3 pts | 17.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 3,824 | 74.7% | 51.8 pts (2,652 votes) | 5,116 | -12.5 pts | 21.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 4,174 | 76.6% | 54.4 pts (2,961 votes) | 5,446 | -1.9 pts | 28.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 4,288 | 81.3% | 64.1 pts (3,379 votes) | 5,274 | -10.1 pts | 34.0 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 13,321 | 40.9% of population |
| 2004 | 13,297 | 43.0% of population |
| 2008 | 13,233 | 35.1% of population |
| 2012 | 13,061 | 37.6% of population |
| 2016 | 12,668 | 40.4% of population |
| 2020 | 11,605 | 46.9% of population |
| 2024 | 11,118 | 47.4% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Magoffin shifted 61.6 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Magoffin has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Kentucky Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Magoffin voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Magoffin has voted Democratic in 1 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 6 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Magoffin?
Magoffin's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when John Kerry (Democratic) won by 0.1 points (7 votes) out of 5,718 total votes cast.
Has Magoffin ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Magoffin changed which party won the county in: 2004, 2008, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Magoffin?
The widest margin on record for Magoffin was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 65.0 points.
How many votes were cast in Magoffin relative to its population?
In 2024, 5,274 votes were recorded in Magoffin against a total population of 11,118 (47.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Magoffin a presidential bellwether county?
Magoffin has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).