Laurel, Kentucky — Presidential Election Results
Laurel, Kentucky has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 39.7 pts more Rep. than Kentucky overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Kentucky |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 13,029 | 71.9% | 45.1 pts (8,173 votes) | 18,120 | — | 30.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 16,819 | 75.5% | 51.8 pts (11,522 votes) | 22,264 | -6.4 pts | 32.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 17,660 | 78.5% | 58.0 pts (13,042 votes) | 22,500 | -6.4 pts | 42.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 18,151 | 81.0% | 63.6 pts (14,246 votes) | 22,408 | -6.0 pts | 41.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 20,592 | 82.9% | 69.1 pts (17,152 votes) | 24,833 | -6.8 pts | 40.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 23,234 | 82.7% | 66.8 pts (18,760 votes) | 28,097 | +3.7 pts | 41.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 23,516 | 84.3% | 69.8 pts (19,479 votes) | 27,887 | -3.0 pts | 39.7 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 52,920 | 34.2% of population |
| 2004 | 55,811 | 39.9% of population |
| 2008 | 58,142 | 38.7% of population |
| 2012 | 59,534 | 37.6% of population |
| 2016 | 60,078 | 41.3% of population |
| 2020 | 62,735 | 44.8% of population |
| 2024 | 63,353 | 44.0% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Laurel shifted 25.0 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Laurel has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Kentucky Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Laurel voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Laurel has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Laurel?
Laurel's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 45.7 points (8,173 votes) out of 18,120 total votes cast.
Has Laurel ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Laurel has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Laurel?
The widest margin on record for Laurel was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 71.4 points.
How many votes were cast in Laurel relative to its population?
In 2024, 27,887 votes were recorded in Laurel against a total population of 63,353 (44.0% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Laurel a presidential bellwether county?
Laurel has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).