Hopkins, Kentucky — Presidential Election Results

Hopkins, Kentucky has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 20.5 pts more Rep. than Kentucky overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Kentucky
2000 George W. Bush Republican 9,490 57.6% 16.7 pts (2,756 votes) 16,489 — 1.5 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 12,314 65.4% 31.3 pts (5,894 votes) 18,843 -14.5 pts 11.4 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 11,916 61.6% 24.9 pts (4,812 votes) 19,348 +6.2 pts 8.8 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 13,681 69.2% 39.9 pts (7,892 votes) 19,767 -15.2 pts 17.4 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 15,277 75.1% 53.9 pts (10,967 votes) 20,345 -15.5 pts 24.6 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 15,757 73.3% 48.0 pts (10,318 votes) 21,509 +7.3 pts 22.3 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 15,361 74.8% 50.9 pts (10,445 votes) 20,537 -2.8 pts 20.5 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 46,463 35.5% of population
2004 46,759 40.3% of population
2008 47,051 41.1% of population
2012 46,607 42.4% of population
2016 45,598 44.6% of population
2020 45,365 47.4% of population
2024 45,218 45.4% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Hopkins shifted 34.5 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+17.0 pts 2004: R+31.5 pts 2008: R+25.3 pts 2012: R+40.5 pts 2016: R+56.0 pts 2020: R+48.7 pts 2024: R+51.5 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Hopkins has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Kentucky Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Hopkins voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Hopkins has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Hopkins?

Hopkins's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 17.0 points (2,756 votes) out of 16,489 total votes cast.

Has Hopkins ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Hopkins has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Hopkins?

The widest margin on record for Hopkins was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 56.0 points.

How many votes were cast in Hopkins relative to its population?

In 2024, 20,537 votes were recorded in Hopkins against a total population of 45,218 (45.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Hopkins a presidential bellwether county?

Hopkins has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).