Henderson, Kentucky — Presidential Election Results
Henderson, Kentucky has voted Republican in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2012. In 2024, it was 1.4 pts more Dem. than Kentucky overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Kentucky |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 8,054 | 50.2% | 2.2 pts (356 votes) | 16,039 | — | 17.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 10,467 | 56.0% | 12.7 pts (2,366 votes) | 18,701 | -15.0 pts | 7.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 10,049 | 50.6% | 2.6 pts (526 votes) | 19,861 | +15.4 pts | 19.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 10,296 | 55.3% | 11.8 pts (2,205 votes) | 18,622 | -14.7 pts | 11.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 12,159 | 61.7% | 27.7 pts (5,452 votes) | 19,710 | -16.9 pts | 2.4 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 12,730 | 61.5% | 24.6 pts (5,091 votes) | 20,688 | +3.9 pts | 1.4 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 12,592 | 64.0% | 29.2 pts (5,755 votes) | 19,688 | -4.6 pts | 1.4 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 44,827 | 35.8% of population |
| 2004 | 45,362 | 41.2% of population |
| 2008 | 46,046 | 43.1% of population |
| 2012 | 46,419 | 40.1% of population |
| 2016 | 46,212 | 42.7% of population |
| 2020 | 44,673 | 46.3% of population |
| 2024 | 44,175 | 44.6% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Henderson shifted 31.9 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Henderson has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Kentucky Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Henderson voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Henderson has voted Democratic in 2 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 5 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Henderson?
Henderson's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when Al Gore (Democratic) won by 2.3 points (356 votes) out of 16,039 total votes cast.
Has Henderson ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Henderson changed which party won the county in: 2004, 2008, 2012, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Henderson?
The widest margin on record for Henderson was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 29.6 points.
How many votes were cast in Henderson relative to its population?
In 2024, 19,688 votes were recorded in Henderson against a total population of 44,175 (44.6% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Henderson a presidential bellwether county?
Henderson has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%).