Graves, Kentucky — Presidential Election Results
Graves, Kentucky has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 31.3 pts more Rep. than Kentucky overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Kentucky |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 7,849 | 55.2% | 12.3 pts (1,752 votes) | 14,231 | — | 2.9 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 9,903 | 61.0% | 22.8 pts (3,697 votes) | 16,229 | -10.4 pts | 2.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 10,056 | 62.2% | 26.1 pts (4,213 votes) | 16,155 | -3.5 pts | 10.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 10,699 | 69.0% | 39.7 pts (6,152 votes) | 15,503 | -13.9 pts | 17.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 12,671 | 76.3% | 56.4 pts (9,363 votes) | 16,606 | -18.2 pts | 27.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 13,206 | 77.6% | 56.7 pts (9,647 votes) | 17,018 | +1.1 pts | 31.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 13,378 | 80.2% | 61.6 pts (10,273 votes) | 16,678 | -4.8 pts | 31.3 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 37,049 | 38.4% of population |
| 2004 | 36,789 | 44.1% of population |
| 2008 | 36,862 | 43.8% of population |
| 2012 | 37,566 | 41.3% of population |
| 2016 | 37,217 | 44.6% of population |
| 2020 | 36,530 | 46.6% of population |
| 2024 | 36,821 | 45.3% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Graves shifted 49.8 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Graves has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Kentucky Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Graves voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Graves has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Graves?
Graves's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 12.6 points (1,752 votes) out of 14,231 total votes cast.
Has Graves ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Graves has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Graves?
The widest margin on record for Graves was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 62.3 points.
How many votes were cast in Graves relative to its population?
In 2024, 16,678 votes were recorded in Graves against a total population of 36,821 (45.3% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Graves a presidential bellwether county?
Graves has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).