Garrard, Kentucky — Presidential Election Results
Garrard, Kentucky has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 29.9 pts more Rep. than Kentucky overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Kentucky |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 4,043 | 69.4% | 40.0 pts (2,330 votes) | 5,823 | — | 25.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 4,784 | 71.9% | 44.2 pts (2,943 votes) | 6,658 | -3.9 pts | 24.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 5,118 | 71.0% | 43.1 pts (3,106 votes) | 7,210 | +0.9 pts | 27.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 5,310 | 75.0% | 51.6 pts (3,649 votes) | 7,077 | -8.8 pts | 29.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 5,904 | 77.4% | 58.4 pts (4,451 votes) | 7,623 | -8.2 pts | 29.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 6,754 | 77.6% | 56.6 pts (4,924 votes) | 8,703 | +3.1 pts | 31.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 7,086 | 79.5% | 60.2 pts (5,367 votes) | 8,917 | -3.6 pts | 29.9 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 14,844 | 39.2% of population |
| 2004 | 15,941 | 41.8% of population |
| 2008 | 16,906 | 42.6% of population |
| 2012 | 17,006 | 41.6% of population |
| 2016 | 17,382 | 43.9% of population |
| 2020 | 16,964 | 51.3% of population |
| 2024 | 18,040 | 49.4% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Garrard shifted 20.5 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Garrard has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Kentucky Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Garrard voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Garrard has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Garrard?
Garrard's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 40.5 points (2,330 votes) out of 5,823 total votes cast.
Has Garrard ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Garrard has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Garrard?
The widest margin on record for Garrard was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 61.0 points.
How many votes were cast in Garrard relative to its population?
In 2024, 8,917 votes were recorded in Garrard against a total population of 18,040 (49.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Garrard a presidential bellwether county?
Garrard has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).