Fleming, Kentucky — Presidential Election Results
Fleming, Kentucky has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 30.4 pts more Rep. than Kentucky overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Kentucky |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,282 | 63.4% | 28.4 pts (1,469 votes) | 5,179 | — | 13.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,749 | 60.4% | 21.7 pts (1,343 votes) | 6,203 | +7.0 pts | 1.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 3,432 | 58.8% | 19.8 pts (1,153 votes) | 5,832 | +1.6 pts | 3.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 3,780 | 65.4% | 32.3 pts (1,869 votes) | 5,782 | -12.7 pts | 9.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 4,722 | 75.4% | 53.9 pts (3,374 votes) | 6,260 | -22.7 pts | 24.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 5,534 | 78.3% | 57.5 pts (4,060 votes) | 7,066 | -2.3 pts | 31.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 5,578 | 79.7% | 60.6 pts (4,244 votes) | 7,000 | -3.5 pts | 30.4 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 13,837 | 37.4% of population |
| 2004 | 14,271 | 43.5% of population |
| 2008 | 14,345 | 40.7% of population |
| 2012 | 14,525 | 39.8% of population |
| 2016 | 14,481 | 43.2% of population |
| 2020 | 15,098 | 46.8% of population |
| 2024 | 15,591 | 44.9% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Fleming shifted 32.6 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Fleming has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Kentucky Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Fleming voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Fleming has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Fleming?
Fleming's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 20.2 points (1,153 votes) out of 5,832 total votes cast.
Has Fleming ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Fleming has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Fleming?
The widest margin on record for Fleming was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 61.4 points.
How many votes were cast in Fleming relative to its population?
In 2024, 7,000 votes were recorded in Fleming against a total population of 15,591 (44.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Fleming a presidential bellwether county?
Fleming has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).