Casey, Kentucky — Presidential Election Results

Casey, Kentucky has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 46.1 pts more Rep. than Kentucky overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Kentucky
2000 George W. Bush Republican 4,284 78.3% 57.8 pts (3,162 votes) 5,469 — 43.0 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 5,109 80.8% 62.3 pts (3,935 votes) 6,321 -4.1 pts 42.6 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 4,679 78.5% 58.1 pts (3,460 votes) 5,957 +4.0 pts 42.2 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 4,904 80.5% 62.7 pts (3,818 votes) 6,091 -5.1 pts 40.7 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 5,482 85.1% 73.2 pts (4,715 votes) 6,439 -11.7 pts 44.1 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 6,179 86.2% 73.4 pts (5,261 votes) 7,171 +1.3 pts 47.7 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 6,216 87.8% 76.4 pts (5,412 votes) 7,080 -3.0 pts 46.1 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 15,466 35.4% of population
2004 15,784 40.0% of population
2008 15,970 37.3% of population
2012 16,024 38.0% of population
2016 15,775 40.8% of population
2020 15,921 45.0% of population
2024 15,948 44.4% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Casey shifted 18.6 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+58.5 pts 2004: R+62.6 pts 2008: R+58.7 pts 2012: R+63.7 pts 2016: R+75.5 pts 2020: R+74.1 pts 2024: R+77.1 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Casey has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Kentucky Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Casey voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Casey has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Casey?

Casey's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 58.5 points (3,162 votes) out of 5,469 total votes cast.

Has Casey ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Casey has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Casey?

The widest margin on record for Casey was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 77.1 points.

How many votes were cast in Casey relative to its population?

In 2024, 7,080 votes were recorded in Casey against a total population of 15,948 (44.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Casey a presidential bellwether county?

Casey has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).