Breckinridge, Kentucky — Presidential Election Results
Breckinridge, Kentucky has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 27.9 pts more Rep. than Kentucky overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Kentucky |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 4,763 | 63.9% | 29.1 pts (2,168 votes) | 7,453 | — | 14.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 5,580 | 65.5% | 31.6 pts (2,696 votes) | 8,520 | -2.4 pts | 11.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 5,281 | 62.0% | 25.5 pts (2,171 votes) | 8,522 | +6.0 pts | 9.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 5,025 | 63.1% | 27.6 pts (2,200 votes) | 7,969 | -2.2 pts | 4.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 6,484 | 73.9% | 51.6 pts (4,524 votes) | 8,774 | -25.6 pts | 22.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 7,701 | 75.5% | 52.5 pts (5,351 votes) | 10,197 | +0.3 pts | 26.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 7,882 | 78.4% | 58.2 pts (5,844 votes) | 10,048 | -5.7 pts | 27.9 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 18,682 | 39.9% of population |
| 2004 | 19,326 | 44.1% of population |
| 2008 | 20,018 | 42.6% of population |
| 2012 | 20,074 | 39.7% of population |
| 2016 | 19,982 | 43.9% of population |
| 2020 | 20,445 | 49.9% of population |
| 2024 | 21,221 | 47.3% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Breckinridge shifted 29.4 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Breckinridge has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Kentucky Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Breckinridge voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Breckinridge has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Breckinridge?
Breckinridge's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 25.9 points (2,171 votes) out of 8,522 total votes cast.
Has Breckinridge ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Breckinridge has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Breckinridge?
The widest margin on record for Breckinridge was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 58.9 points.
How many votes were cast in Breckinridge relative to its population?
In 2024, 10,048 votes were recorded in Breckinridge against a total population of 21,221 (47.3% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Breckinridge a presidential bellwether county?
Breckinridge has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Kentucky's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).