Orleans, Vermont — Presidential Election Results
Orleans, Vermont has voted Democratic in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2024. In 2024, it was 34.4 pts more Rep. than Vermont overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Vermont |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 5,799 | 47.8% | 2.7 pts (327 votes) | 12,132 | — | 13.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 6,330 | 51.7% | 5.4 pts (664 votes) | 12,242 | +8.4 pts | 15.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 7,998 | 62.6% | 27.5 pts (3,516 votes) | 12,771 | +22.6 pts | 9.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 7,117 | 60.9% | 24.0 pts (2,811 votes) | 11,692 | -3.6 pts | 11.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 5,185 | 43.0% | 0.2 pts (26 votes) | 12,047 | -24.4 pts | 30.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 7,757 | 50.2% | 4.3 pts (671 votes) | 15,442 | +4.3 pts | 32.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 7,233 | 49.0% | 1.5 pts (227 votes) | 14,765 | -6.1 pts | 34.4 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 26,321 | 46.1% of population |
| 2004 | 27,064 | 45.2% of population |
| 2008 | 27,269 | 46.8% of population |
| 2012 | 27,165 | 43.0% of population |
| 2016 | 26,766 | 45.0% of population |
| 2020 | 27,401 | 56.4% of population |
| 2024 | 27,726 | 53.3% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Orleans shifted 1.3 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Orleans has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Vermont's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Vermont Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Orleans voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Orleans has voted Democratic in 5 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 2 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Orleans?
Orleans's closest recorded margin was in 2016, when Hillary Clinton (Democratic) won by 0.3 points (26 votes) out of 12,047 total votes cast.
Has Orleans ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Orleans changed which party won the county in: 2004, 2024, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Orleans?
The widest margin on record for Orleans was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 28.2 points.
How many votes were cast in Orleans relative to its population?
In 2024, 14,765 votes were recorded in Orleans against a total population of 27,726 (53.3% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Orleans a presidential bellwether county?
Orleans has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Vermont's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%).