Orange, Vermont — Presidential Election Results
Orange, Vermont has voted Democratic in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Democratic in 2004. In 2024, it was 11.8 pts more Rep. than Vermont overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Vermont |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 6,858 | 46.7% | 1.1 pts (164 votes) | 14,695 | — | 12.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 8,159 | 54.8% | 11.7 pts (1,738 votes) | 14,895 | +13.1 pts | 8.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 9,799 | 64.6% | 31.3 pts (4,752 votes) | 15,179 | +20.1 pts | 5.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 9,076 | 64.6% | 31.9 pts (4,488 votes) | 14,053 | +0.8 pts | 3.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 7,541 | 51.5% | 17.3 pts (2,534 votes) | 14,649 | -12.7 pts | 10.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 8,351 | 56.1% | 17.3 pts (2,569 votes) | 14,876 | -2.0 pts | 18.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 10,220 | 57.8% | 20.0 pts (3,537 votes) | 17,672 | +2.7 pts | 11.8 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 28,381 | 51.8% of population |
| 2004 | 29,040 | 51.3% of population |
| 2008 | 29,032 | 52.3% of population |
| 2012 | 28,916 | 48.6% of population |
| 2016 | 28,908 | 50.7% of population |
| 2020 | 29,295 | 50.8% of population |
| 2024 | 30,050 | 58.8% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Orange shifted 22.1 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Orange has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Vermont's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Vermont Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Orange voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Orange has voted Democratic in 6 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 1 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Orange?
Orange's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 1.2 points (164 votes) out of 14,695 total votes cast.
Has Orange ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Orange changed which party won the county in: 2004, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Orange?
The widest margin on record for Orange was in 2012, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 32.8 points.
How many votes were cast in Orange relative to its population?
In 2024, 17,672 votes were recorded in Orange against a total population of 30,050 (58.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Orange a presidential bellwether county?
Orange has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Vermont's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).