Caledonia, Vermont — Presidential Election Results
Caledonia, Vermont has voted Democratic in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Democratic in 2004. In 2024, it was 19.9 pts more Rep. than Vermont overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Vermont |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 6,746 | 49.5% | 6.5 pts (887 votes) | 13,641 | — | 17.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 7,106 | 50.0% | 2.4 pts (341 votes) | 14,211 | +9.5 pts | 18.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 8,900 | 60.4% | 23.3 pts (3,428 votes) | 14,728 | +21.4 pts | 13.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 8,192 | 60.0% | 22.7 pts (3,104 votes) | 13,661 | -0.5 pts | 13.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 6,445 | 45.8% | 6.5 pts (911 votes) | 14,075 | -15.8 pts | 22.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 8,529 | 56.3% | 17.2 pts (2,605 votes) | 15,158 | +10.4 pts | 18.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 8,977 | 54.0% | 12.3 pts (2,050 votes) | 16,633 | -5.1 pts | 19.9 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 29,662 | 46.0% of population |
| 2004 | 30,642 | 46.4% of population |
| 2008 | 31,167 | 47.3% of population |
| 2012 | 31,025 | 44.0% of population |
| 2016 | 30,154 | 46.7% of population |
| 2020 | 30,179 | 50.2% of population |
| 2024 | 30,535 | 54.5% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Caledonia shifted 19.9 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Caledonia has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Vermont's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Vermont Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Caledonia voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Caledonia has voted Democratic in 6 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 1 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Caledonia?
Caledonia's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when John Kerry (Democratic) won by 2.5 points (341 votes) out of 14,211 total votes cast.
Has Caledonia ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Caledonia changed which party won the county in: 2004, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Caledonia?
The widest margin on record for Caledonia was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 23.9 points.
How many votes were cast in Caledonia relative to its population?
In 2024, 16,633 votes were recorded in Caledonia against a total population of 30,535 (54.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Caledonia a presidential bellwether county?
Caledonia has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Vermont's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).