Grand Isle, Vermont — Presidential Election Results

Grand Isle, Vermont has voted Democratic in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 11.1 pts more Rep. than Vermont overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Vermont
2000 Al Gore Democratic 1,835 50.4% 7.8 pts (285 votes) 3,638 — 2.5 pts more Rep.
2004 John Kerry Democratic 2,246 55.1% 12.1 pts (492 votes) 4,077 +3.9 pts 8.3 pts more Rep.
2008 Barack Obama Democratic 2,694 63.1% 28.2 pts (1,204 votes) 4,269 +16.5 pts 9.0 pts more Rep.
2012 Barack Obama Democratic 2,531 62.1% 26.0 pts (1,060 votes) 4,075 -2.3 pts 10.0 pts more Rep.
2016 Hillary Clinton Democratic 2,094 50.9% 14.8 pts (607 votes) 4,110 -9.5 pts 13.4 pts more Rep.
2020 Joseph R Biden Jr Democratic 3,346 57.9% 19.9 pts (1,152 votes) 5,782 +3.8 pts 15.8 pts more Rep.
2024 Kamala D Harris Democratic 2,940 58.8% 20.9 pts (1,047 votes) 5,001 +0.9 pts 11.1 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 6,909 52.7% of population
2004 7,265 56.1% of population
2008 7,211 59.2% of population
2012 6,972 58.4% of population
2016 6,921 59.4% of population
2020 7,275 79.5% of population
2024 7,528 66.4% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Grand Isle shifted 13.2 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: D+8.4 pts 2004: D+12.3 pts 2008: D+28.8 pts 2012: D+26.5 pts 2016: D+17.0 pts 2020: D+20.8 pts 2024: D+21.7 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Grand Isle has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Vermont's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Vermont Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Grand Isle voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Grand Isle has voted Democratic in 7 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 0 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Grand Isle?

Grand Isle's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when Al Gore (Democratic) won by 8.4 points (285 votes) out of 3,638 total votes cast.

Has Grand Isle ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Grand Isle has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Grand Isle?

The widest margin on record for Grand Isle was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 28.8 points.

How many votes were cast in Grand Isle relative to its population?

In 2024, 5,001 votes were recorded in Grand Isle against a total population of 7,528 (66.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Grand Isle a presidential bellwether county?

Grand Isle has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Vermont's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).