Sullivan, New Hampshire — Presidential Election Results
Sullivan, New Hampshire has voted Democratic in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2024. In 2024, it was 3.5 pts more Rep. than New Hampshire overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. New Hampshire |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 9,304 | 49.8% | 5.8 pts (1,080 votes) | 18,668 | — | 4.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 11,434 | 52.5% | 5.9 pts (1,292 votes) | 21,796 | +12.1 pts | 4.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 13,249 | 58.2% | 17.9 pts (4,080 votes) | 22,754 | +12.2 pts | 8.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 12,166 | 55.7% | 13.3 pts (2,897 votes) | 21,834 | -4.7 pts | 7.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 10,796 | 47.6% | 2.6 pts (586 votes) | 22,683 | -16.3 pts | 3.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 12,390 | 50.8% | 3.6 pts (882 votes) | 24,380 | +6.5 pts | 3.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 12,484 | 49.5% | 0.7 pts (167 votes) | 25,221 | -4.4 pts | 3.5 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 40,543 | 46.0% of population |
| 2004 | 42,547 | 51.2% of population |
| 2008 | 43,767 | 52.0% of population |
| 2012 | 43,229 | 50.5% of population |
| 2016 | 43,084 | 52.6% of population |
| 2020 | 43,069 | 56.6% of population |
| 2024 | 44,012 | 57.3% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Sullivan shifted 5.5 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Sullivan has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and New Hampshire's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other New Hampshire Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Sullivan voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Sullivan has voted Democratic in 4 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 3 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Sullivan?
Sullivan's closest recorded margin was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 0.7 points (167 votes) out of 25,221 total votes cast.
Has Sullivan ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Sullivan changed which party won the county in: 2004, 2016, 2020, 2024, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Sullivan?
The widest margin on record for Sullivan was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 18.2 points.
How many votes were cast in Sullivan relative to its population?
In 2024, 25,221 votes were recorded in Sullivan against a total population of 44,012 (57.3% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Sullivan a presidential bellwether county?
Sullivan has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and New Hampshire's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%).