Rockingham, New Hampshire — Presidential Election Results

Rockingham, New Hampshire has voted Republican in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2024. In 2024, it was 5.3 pts more Rep. than New Hampshire overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. New Hampshire
2000 George W. Bush Republican 65,860 49.1% 3.2 pts (4,232 votes) 134,173 — 2.0 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 82,069 51.7% 4.2 pts (6,632 votes) 158,766 -0.9 pts 5.6 pts more Rep.
2008 Barack Obama Democratic 83,723 49.9% 1.1 pts (1,806 votes) 167,822 +5.3 pts 8.6 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 87,921 51.6% 4.6 pts (7,779 votes) 170,419 -5.7 pts 10.3 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 90,447 49.9% 5.8 pts (10,453 votes) 181,434 -1.5 pts 6.5 pts more Rep.
2020 Joseph R Biden Jr Democratic 100,064 50.3% 2.1 pts (4,206 votes) 198,798 +8.3 pts 5.4 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 102,539 50.5% 2.4 pts (4,928 votes) 202,922 -4.6 pts 5.3 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 278,599 48.2% of population
2004 289,103 54.9% of population
2008 294,996 56.9% of population
2012 298,157 57.2% of population
2016 304,377 59.6% of population
2020 314,664 63.2% of population
2024 322,433 62.9% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Rockingham shifted 0.9 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+3.3 pts 2004: R+4.2 pts 2008: D+1.1 pts 2012: R+4.6 pts 2016: R+6.1 pts 2020: D+2.1 pts 2024: R+2.5 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Rockingham has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and New Hampshire's own statewide winner in 3 of 7 (43%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other New Hampshire Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Rockingham voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Rockingham has voted Democratic in 2 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 5 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Rockingham?

Rockingham's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 1.1 points (1,806 votes) out of 167,822 total votes cast.

Has Rockingham ever flipped between parties?

Yes. Rockingham changed which party won the county in: 2008, 2012, 2020, 2024, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Rockingham?

The widest margin on record for Rockingham was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 6.1 points.

How many votes were cast in Rockingham relative to its population?

In 2024, 202,922 votes were recorded in Rockingham against a total population of 322,433 (62.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Rockingham a presidential bellwether county?

Rockingham has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and New Hampshire's own statewide winner in 3 of 7 (43%).