Strafford, New Hampshire — Presidential Election Results
Strafford, New Hampshire has voted Democratic in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 9.4 pts more Dem. than New Hampshire overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. New Hampshire |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 25,400 | 51.4% | 8.7 pts (4,292 votes) | 49,393 | — | 10.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 32,942 | 55.6% | 12.0 pts (7,117 votes) | 59,280 | +2.9 pts | 10.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 37,990 | 59.5% | 20.3 pts (12,969 votes) | 63,848 | +8.5 pts | 10.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 36,026 | 56.3% | 14.5 pts (9,297 votes) | 63,960 | -5.8 pts | 9.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 34,894 | 50.6% | 8.4 pts (5,822 votes) | 69,000 | -5.7 pts | 8.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 41,721 | 56.7% | 15.3 pts (11,232 votes) | 73,596 | +6.5 pts | 8.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 42,373 | 55.3% | 12.0 pts (9,211 votes) | 76,688 | -3.4 pts | 9.4 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 112,643 | 43.8% of population |
| 2004 | 117,926 | 50.3% of population |
| 2008 | 122,460 | 52.1% of population |
| 2012 | 124,768 | 51.3% of population |
| 2016 | 128,311 | 53.8% of population |
| 2020 | 131,074 | 56.1% of population |
| 2024 | 134,202 | 57.1% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Strafford shifted 3.0 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Strafford has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and New Hampshire's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other New Hampshire Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Strafford voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Strafford has voted Democratic in 7 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 0 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Strafford?
Strafford's closest recorded margin was in 2016, when Hillary Clinton (Democratic) won by 9.1 points (5,822 votes) out of 69,000 total votes cast.
Has Strafford ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Strafford has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Strafford?
The widest margin on record for Strafford was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 20.6 points.
How many votes were cast in Strafford relative to its population?
In 2024, 76,688 votes were recorded in Strafford against a total population of 134,202 (57.1% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Strafford a presidential bellwether county?
Strafford has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and New Hampshire's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).