Grafton, New Hampshire — Presidential Election Results
Grafton, New Hampshire has voted Democratic in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 17.4 pts more Dem. than New Hampshire overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. New Hampshire |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 18,326 | 47.3% | 0.6 pts (234 votes) | 38,733 | — | 2.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 26,180 | 55.7% | 12.6 pts (5,903 votes) | 46,962 | +12.1 pts | 11.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 31,446 | 63.0% | 27.6 pts (13,759 votes) | 49,890 | +15.3 pts | 18.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 29,826 | 60.9% | 23.7 pts (11,618 votes) | 49,005 | -3.8 pts | 18.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 28,510 | 55.7% | 18.6 pts (9,500 votes) | 51,191 | -4.2 pts | 19.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 33,180 | 61.5% | 24.6 pts (13,275 votes) | 53,966 | +5.0 pts | 17.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 32,993 | 59.0% | 19.8 pts (11,084 votes) | 55,895 | -4.8 pts | 17.4 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 81,868 | 47.3% of population |
| 2004 | 85,312 | 55.0% of population |
| 2008 | 88,745 | 56.2% of population |
| 2012 | 89,617 | 54.7% of population |
| 2016 | 90,004 | 56.9% of population |
| 2020 | 91,197 | 59.2% of population |
| 2024 | 93,045 | 60.1% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Grafton shifted 19.5 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Grafton has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and New Hampshire's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other New Hampshire Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Grafton voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Grafton has voted Democratic in 7 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 0 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Grafton?
Grafton's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when Al Gore (Democratic) won by 0.6 points (234 votes) out of 38,733 total votes cast.
Has Grafton ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Grafton has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Grafton?
The widest margin on record for Grafton was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 28.0 points.
How many votes were cast in Grafton relative to its population?
In 2024, 55,895 votes were recorded in Grafton against a total population of 93,045 (60.1% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Grafton a presidential bellwether county?
Grafton has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and New Hampshire's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).