Sarpy, Nebraska — Presidential Election Results

Sarpy, Nebraska has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 9.0 pts more Dem. than Nebraska overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Nebraska
2000 George W. Bush Republican 28,979 64.0% 31.7 pts (14,342 votes) 45,278 — 2.5 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 40,163 68.9% 38.9 pts (22,708 votes) 58,334 -6.5 pts 5.7 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 38,816 57.1% 15.9 pts (10,806 votes) 68,022 +23.2 pts 1.0 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 43,213 60.4% 23.1 pts (16,542 votes) 71,490 -7.5 pts 1.4 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 45,143 56.0% 21.2 pts (17,110 votes) 80,580 +0.3 pts 3.7 pts more Dem.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 51,979 54.3% 11.3 pts (10,773 votes) 95,673 +11.8 pts 8.0 pts more Dem.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 55,567 55.2% 11.7 pts (11,742 votes) 100,735 -0.3 pts 9.0 pts more Dem.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 123,309 36.7% of population
2004 136,339 42.8% of population
2008 152,762 44.5% of population
2012 165,664 43.2% of population
2016 178,355 45.2% of population
2020 191,181 50.0% of population
2024 204,828 49.2% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Sarpy shifted 21.1 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+32.9 pts 2004: R+39.4 pts 2008: R+16.2 pts 2012: R+23.7 pts 2016: R+23.4 pts 2020: R+11.6 pts 2024: R+11.8 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Sarpy has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Nebraska's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Nebraska Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Sarpy voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Sarpy has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Sarpy?

Sarpy's closest recorded margin was in 2020, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 11.6 points (10,773 votes) out of 95,673 total votes cast.

Has Sarpy ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Sarpy has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Sarpy?

The widest margin on record for Sarpy was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 39.4 points.

How many votes were cast in Sarpy relative to its population?

In 2024, 100,735 votes were recorded in Sarpy against a total population of 204,828 (49.2% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Sarpy a presidential bellwether county?

Sarpy has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Nebraska's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).