Buffalo, Nebraska — Presidential Election Results
Buffalo, Nebraska has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 24.7 pts more Rep. than Nebraska overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Nebraska |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 11,931 | 72.5% | 48.6 pts (8,004 votes) | 16,461 | — | 20.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 14,222 | 76.4% | 54.4 pts (10,122 votes) | 18,608 | -4.8 pts | 21.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 13,097 | 67.9% | 37.5 pts (7,230 votes) | 19,293 | +17.1 pts | 22.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 13,570 | 69.8% | 42.2 pts (8,205 votes) | 19,453 | -5.2 pts | 21.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 14,569 | 69.0% | 46.4 pts (9,806 votes) | 21,129 | -7.4 pts | 23.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 16,640 | 70.5% | 43.6 pts (10,290 votes) | 23,589 | +6.0 pts | 25.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 17,064 | 71.8% | 44.9 pts (10,678 votes) | 23,759 | -0.8 pts | 24.7 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 42,310 | 38.9% of population |
| 2004 | 43,753 | 42.5% of population |
| 2008 | 45,343 | 42.5% of population |
| 2012 | 47,637 | 40.8% of population |
| 2016 | 49,104 | 43.0% of population |
| 2020 | 50,204 | 47.0% of population |
| 2024 | 51,156 | 46.4% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Buffalo shifted 4.9 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Buffalo has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Nebraska's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Nebraska Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Buffalo voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Buffalo has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Buffalo?
Buffalo's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 38.1 points (7,230 votes) out of 19,293 total votes cast.
Has Buffalo ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Buffalo has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Buffalo?
The widest margin on record for Buffalo was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 55.2 points.
How many votes were cast in Buffalo relative to its population?
In 2024, 23,759 votes were recorded in Buffalo against a total population of 51,156 (46.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Buffalo a presidential bellwether county?
Buffalo has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Nebraska's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).