Box Butte, Nebraska — Presidential Election Results

Box Butte, Nebraska has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 36.3 pts more Rep. than Nebraska overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Nebraska
2000 George W. Bush Republican 3,208 63.0% 31.3 pts (1,594 votes) 5,089 — 2.7 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 3,396 65.9% 33.8 pts (1,739 votes) 5,152 -1.4 pts 0.7 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 2,932 58.9% 21.0 pts (1,046 votes) 4,979 +12.7 pts 6.5 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 2,869 61.0% 25.0 pts (1,177 votes) 4,705 -4.1 pts 3.5 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 3,617 73.5% 53.9 pts (2,652 votes) 4,924 -32.1 pts 30.8 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 4,002 77.2% 57.0 pts (2,951 votes) 5,181 -0.5 pts 38.8 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 3,827 77.6% 56.5 pts (2,784 votes) 4,931 +1.2 pts 36.3 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 12,235 41.6% of population
2004 11,528 44.7% of population
2008 11,482 43.4% of population
2012 11,265 41.8% of population
2016 11,176 44.1% of population
2020 10,819 47.9% of population
2024 10,703 46.1% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Box Butte shifted 24.1 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+33.1 pts 2004: R+34.4 pts 2008: R+21.7 pts 2012: R+25.8 pts 2016: R+57.9 pts 2020: R+58.4 pts 2024: R+57.2 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Box Butte has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Nebraska's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Nebraska Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Box Butte voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Box Butte has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Box Butte?

Box Butte's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 21.7 points (1,046 votes) out of 4,979 total votes cast.

Has Box Butte ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Box Butte has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Box Butte?

The widest margin on record for Box Butte was in 2020, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 58.4 points.

How many votes were cast in Box Butte relative to its population?

In 2024, 4,931 votes were recorded in Box Butte against a total population of 10,703 (46.1% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Box Butte a presidential bellwether county?

Box Butte has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Nebraska's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).