Arthur, Nebraska — Presidential Election Results
Arthur, Nebraska has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 67.1 pts more Rep. than Nebraska overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Nebraska |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 235 | 86.4% | 76.8 pts (209 votes) | 272 | — | 49.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 240 | 90.2% | 81.2 pts (216 votes) | 266 | -1.7 pts | 48.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 217 | 82.5% | 67.7 pts (178 votes) | 263 | +12.3 pts | 54.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 227 | 86.6% | 75.2 pts (197 votes) | 262 | -7.1 pts | 54.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 244 | 89.4% | 83.2 pts (227 votes) | 273 | -10.3 pts | 59.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 260 | 91.5% | 84.2 pts (239 votes) | 284 | +1.9 pts | 65.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 264 | 93.6% | 87.6 pts (247 votes) | 282 | -2.8 pts | 67.1 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 445 | 61.1% of population |
| 2004 | 433 | 61.4% of population |
| 2008 | 453 | 58.1% of population |
| 2012 | 479 | 54.7% of population |
| 2016 | 466 | 58.6% of population |
| 2020 | 432 | 65.7% of population |
| 2024 | 423 | 66.7% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Arthur shifted 7.8 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Arthur has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Nebraska's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Nebraska Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Arthur voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Arthur has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Arthur?
Arthur's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 69.5 points (178 votes) out of 263 total votes cast.
Has Arthur ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Arthur has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Arthur?
The widest margin on record for Arthur was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 87.9 points.
How many votes were cast in Arthur relative to its population?
In 2024, 282 votes were recorded in Arthur against a total population of 423 (66.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Arthur a presidential bellwether county?
Arthur has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Nebraska's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).