Red Willow, Nebraska — Presidential Election Results

Red Willow, Nebraska has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 48.2 pts more Rep. than Nebraska overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Nebraska
2000 George W. Bush Republican 3,680 73.2% 49.6 pts (2,492 votes) 5,025 — 20.8 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 4,129 78.5% 58.5 pts (3,074 votes) 5,258 -8.1 pts 25.6 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 3,735 74.0% 49.9 pts (2,519 votes) 5,044 +8.4 pts 35.7 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 3,891 78.8% 59.5 pts (2,939 votes) 4,936 -9.8 pts 38.4 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 4,258 82.4% 69.9 pts (3,613 votes) 5,170 -13.0 pts 46.6 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 4,525 83.0% 68.1 pts (3,714 votes) 5,452 +4.1 pts 50.0 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 4,457 83.7% 68.4 pts (3,642 votes) 5,323 +0.5 pts 48.2 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 11,487 43.7% of population
2004 11,351 46.3% of population
2008 11,034 45.7% of population
2012 11,044 44.7% of population
2016 10,767 48.0% of population
2020 10,684 51.0% of population
2024 10,409 51.1% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Red Willow shifted 17.9 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+51.2 pts 2004: R+59.3 pts 2008: R+50.9 pts 2012: R+60.7 pts 2016: R+73.7 pts 2020: R+69.6 pts 2024: R+69.1 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Red Willow has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Nebraska's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Nebraska Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Red Willow voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Red Willow has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Red Willow?

Red Willow's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 50.9 points (2,519 votes) out of 5,044 total votes cast.

Has Red Willow ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Red Willow has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Red Willow?

The widest margin on record for Red Willow was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 73.7 points.

How many votes were cast in Red Willow relative to its population?

In 2024, 5,323 votes were recorded in Red Willow against a total population of 10,409 (51.1% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Red Willow a presidential bellwether county?

Red Willow has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Nebraska's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).