Keya Paha, Nebraska — Presidential Election Results
Keya Paha, Nebraska has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 63.0 pts more Rep. than Nebraska overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Nebraska |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 422 | 82.3% | 67.1 pts (344 votes) | 513 | — | 38.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 442 | 80.5% | 62.7 pts (344 votes) | 549 | +5.1 pts | 30.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 409 | 76.7% | 55.2 pts (294 votes) | 533 | +7.6 pts | 40.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 393 | 81.2% | 64.7 pts (313 votes) | 484 | -10.1 pts | 43.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 460 | 88.6% | 80.9 pts (420 votes) | 519 | -17.8 pts | 56.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 476 | 90.0% | 80.7 pts (427 votes) | 529 | +2.7 pts | 61.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 500 | 91.9% | 83.8 pts (456 votes) | 544 | -2.5 pts | 63.0 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 981 | 52.3% of population |
| 2004 | 942 | 58.3% of population |
| 2008 | 836 | 63.8% of population |
| 2012 | 797 | 60.7% of population |
| 2016 | 792 | 65.5% of population |
| 2020 | 760 | 69.6% of population |
| 2024 | 819 | 66.4% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Keya Paha shifted 15.0 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Keya Paha has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Nebraska's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Nebraska Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Keya Paha voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Keya Paha has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Keya Paha?
Keya Paha's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 56.1 points (294 votes) out of 533 total votes cast.
Has Keya Paha ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Keya Paha has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Keya Paha?
The widest margin on record for Keya Paha was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 84.0 points.
How many votes were cast in Keya Paha relative to its population?
In 2024, 544 votes were recorded in Keya Paha against a total population of 819 (66.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Keya Paha a presidential bellwether county?
Keya Paha has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Nebraska's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).