Hayes, Nebraska — Presidential Election Results
Hayes, Nebraska has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 71.4 pts more Rep. than Nebraska overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Nebraska |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 486 | 85.1% | 73.6 pts (420 votes) | 571 | — | 45.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 524 | 87.6% | 76.6 pts (458 votes) | 598 | -1.5 pts | 43.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 461 | 83.4% | 68.0 pts (376 votes) | 553 | +8.8 pts | 53.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 476 | 88.3% | 78.8 pts (425 votes) | 539 | -11.8 pts | 58.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 472 | 91.8% | 86.0 pts (442 votes) | 514 | -7.4 pts | 61.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 494 | 92.5% | 86.1 pts (460 votes) | 534 | +0.9 pts | 67.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 472 | 95.5% | 91.7 pts (453 votes) | 494 | -5.1 pts | 71.4 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 1,070 | 53.4% of population |
| 2004 | 1,063 | 56.3% of population |
| 2008 | 986 | 56.1% of population |
| 2012 | 919 | 58.7% of population |
| 2016 | 891 | 57.7% of population |
| 2020 | 849 | 62.9% of population |
| 2024 | 846 | 58.4% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Hayes shifted 16.2 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Hayes has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Nebraska's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Nebraska Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Hayes voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Hayes has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Hayes?
Hayes's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 68.9 points (376 votes) out of 553 total votes cast.
Has Hayes ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Hayes has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Hayes?
The widest margin on record for Hayes was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 92.3 points.
How many votes were cast in Hayes relative to its population?
In 2024, 494 votes were recorded in Hayes against a total population of 846 (58.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Hayes a presidential bellwether county?
Hayes has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Nebraska's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).