Harlan, Nebraska — Presidential Election Results
Harlan, Nebraska has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 47.8 pts more Rep. than Nebraska overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Nebraska |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,358 | 73.3% | 49.7 pts (920 votes) | 1,852 | — | 20.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,467 | 77.3% | 56.4 pts (1,069 votes) | 1,897 | -6.1 pts | 23.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 1,329 | 75.3% | 52.5 pts (927 votes) | 1,766 | +3.8 pts | 38.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 1,395 | 78.5% | 58.5 pts (1,041 votes) | 1,778 | -6.0 pts | 37.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 1,496 | 81.7% | 67.8 pts (1,242 votes) | 1,832 | -11.5 pts | 43.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 1,615 | 83.8% | 69.1 pts (1,333 votes) | 1,928 | +0.7 pts | 50.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 1,506 | 83.6% | 68.0 pts (1,226 votes) | 1,802 | +1.6 pts | 47.8 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 3,764 | 49.2% of population |
| 2004 | 3,633 | 52.2% of population |
| 2008 | 3,435 | 51.4% of population |
| 2012 | 3,411 | 52.1% of population |
| 2016 | 3,451 | 53.1% of population |
| 2020 | 3,054 | 63.1% of population |
| 2024 | 3,018 | 59.7% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Harlan shifted 17.4 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Harlan has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Nebraska's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Nebraska Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Harlan voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Harlan has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Harlan?
Harlan's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 51.2 points (920 votes) out of 1,852 total votes cast.
Has Harlan ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Harlan has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Harlan?
The widest margin on record for Harlan was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 71.0 points.
How many votes were cast in Harlan relative to its population?
In 2024, 1,802 votes were recorded in Harlan against a total population of 3,018 (59.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Harlan a presidential bellwether county?
Harlan has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Nebraska's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).