Dakota, Nebraska — Presidential Election Results

Dakota, Nebraska has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 9.4 pts more Rep. than Nebraska overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Nebraska
2000 George W. Bush Republican 3,119 51.5% 7.0 pts (424 votes) 6,061 — 23.1 pts more Dem.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 3,526 53.3% 7.5 pts (499 votes) 6,615 -0.3 pts 26.1 pts more Dem.
2008 John McCain Republican 3,292 51.5% 4.7 pts (298 votes) 6,396 +2.9 pts 10.5 pts more Dem.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 3,094 50.4% 2.8 pts (172 votes) 6,136 +1.9 pts 19.4 pts more Dem.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 3,616 57.6% 20.7 pts (1,302 votes) 6,279 -19.1 pts 5.1 pts more Dem.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 3,926 57.8% 17.4 pts (1,182 votes) 6,794 +4.2 pts 1.8 pts more Dem.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 3,934 64.3% 29.8 pts (1,825 votes) 6,120 -12.5 pts 9.4 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 20,296 29.9% of population
2004 20,410 32.4% of population
2008 20,559 31.1% of population
2012 20,714 29.6% of population
2016 20,279 31.0% of population
2020 21,556 31.5% of population
2024 21,335 28.7% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Dakota shifted 22.9 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+7.3 pts 2004: R+7.6 pts 2008: R+4.7 pts 2012: R+2.9 pts 2016: R+22.0 pts 2020: R+17.7 pts 2024: R+30.2 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Dakota has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Nebraska's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Nebraska Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Dakota voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Dakota has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Dakota?

Dakota's closest recorded margin was in 2012, when Mitt Romney (Republican) won by 2.9 points (172 votes) out of 6,136 total votes cast.

Has Dakota ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Dakota has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Dakota?

The widest margin on record for Dakota was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 30.2 points.

How many votes were cast in Dakota relative to its population?

In 2024, 6,120 votes were recorded in Dakota against a total population of 21,335 (28.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Dakota a presidential bellwether county?

Dakota has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Nebraska's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).