Valley, Montana — Presidential Election Results
Valley, Montana has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 32.1 pts more Rep. than Montana overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Montana |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,500 | 63.1% | 31.0 pts (1,227 votes) | 3,963 | — | 5.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,476 | 61.6% | 26.0 pts (1,045 votes) | 4,018 | +5.8 pts | 5.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 2,121 | 47.9% | 10.8 pts (476 votes) | 4,426 | +14.1 pts | 10.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 2,337 | 60.6% | 24.7 pts (952 votes) | 3,859 | -12.9 pts | 11.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 2,698 | 69.3% | 46.5 pts (1,812 votes) | 3,894 | -25.0 pts | 28.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 3,135 | 73.6% | 49.4 pts (2,105 votes) | 4,261 | +0.0 pts | 33.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 3,019 | 74.0% | 51.1 pts (2,084 votes) | 4,079 | -2.2 pts | 32.1 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 7,653 | 51.8% of population |
| 2004 | 7,422 | 54.1% of population |
| 2008 | 7,415 | 59.7% of population |
| 2012 | 7,499 | 51.5% of population |
| 2016 | 7,532 | 51.7% of population |
| 2020 | 7,561 | 56.4% of population |
| 2024 | 7,434 | 54.9% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Valley shifted 20.2 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Valley has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Montana's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Montana Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Valley voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Valley has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Valley?
Valley's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 12.6 points (476 votes) out of 4,426 total votes cast.
Has Valley ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Valley has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Valley?
The widest margin on record for Valley was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 52.7 points.
How many votes were cast in Valley relative to its population?
In 2024, 4,079 votes were recorded in Valley against a total population of 7,434 (54.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Valley a presidential bellwether county?
Valley has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Montana's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).