Blaine, Montana — Presidential Election Results
Blaine, Montana has voted Republican in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2024. In 2024, it was 14.4 pts more Dem. than Montana overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Montana |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,410 | 51.1% | 5.9 pts (164 votes) | 2,759 | — | 21.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,424 | 51.4% | 4.5 pts (124 votes) | 2,768 | +1.6 pts | 16.4 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 1,702 | 56.5% | 18.7 pts (563 votes) | 3,014 | +24.4 pts | 22.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 1,616 | 56.5% | 15.3 pts (438 votes) | 2,859 | -4.1 pts | 29.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 1,268 | 47.2% | 2.5 pts (66 votes) | 2,684 | -18.3 pts | 19.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 1,589 | 51.0% | 3.8 pts (120 votes) | 3,117 | +6.6 pts | 20.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 1,526 | 50.5% | 5.9 pts (178 votes) | 3,019 | -10.1 pts | 14.4 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 6,968 | 39.6% of population |
| 2004 | 6,571 | 42.1% of population |
| 2008 | 6,401 | 47.1% of population |
| 2012 | 6,680 | 42.8% of population |
| 2016 | 6,716 | 40.0% of population |
| 2020 | 7,003 | 44.5% of population |
| 2024 | 6,903 | 43.7% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Blaine shifted 0.0 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Blaine has matched the national popular winner in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections (100%), and Montana's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Montana Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Blaine voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Blaine has voted Democratic in 3 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 4 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Blaine?
Blaine's closest recorded margin was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 2.7 points (66 votes) out of 2,684 total votes cast.
Has Blaine ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Blaine changed which party won the county in: 2008, 2016, 2020, 2024, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Blaine?
The widest margin on record for Blaine was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 19.8 points.
How many votes were cast in Blaine relative to its population?
In 2024, 3,019 votes were recorded in Blaine against a total population of 6,903 (43.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Blaine a presidential bellwether county?
Blaine has matched the national popular winner in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections (100%), and Montana's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).