Toole, Montana — Presidential Election Results
Toole, Montana has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 37.6 pts more Rep. than Montana overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Montana |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,639 | 68.9% | 42.4 pts (1,009 votes) | 2,378 | — | 17.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,583 | 68.5% | 38.6 pts (893 votes) | 2,311 | +5.2 pts | 18.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 1,317 | 62.1% | 27.3 pts (580 votes) | 2,121 | +11.0 pts | 25.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 1,440 | 68.5% | 40.8 pts (858 votes) | 2,102 | -14.2 pts | 28.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 1,497 | 73.5% | 53.8 pts (1,095 votes) | 2,037 | -15.2 pts | 35.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 1,596 | 75.3% | 53.3 pts (1,129 votes) | 2,119 | +2.9 pts | 37.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 1,571 | 76.8% | 56.5 pts (1,156 votes) | 2,046 | -3.5 pts | 37.6 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 5,261 | 45.2% of population |
| 2004 | 5,069 | 45.6% of population |
| 2008 | 5,079 | 41.8% of population |
| 2012 | 5,217 | 40.3% of population |
| 2016 | 4,951 | 41.1% of population |
| 2020 | 4,967 | 42.7% of population |
| 2024 | 5,153 | 39.7% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Toole shifted 13.7 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Toole has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Montana's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Montana Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Toole voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Toole has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Toole?
Toole's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 28.2 points (580 votes) out of 2,121 total votes cast.
Has Toole ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Toole has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Toole?
The widest margin on record for Toole was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 58.2 points.
How many votes were cast in Toole relative to its population?
In 2024, 2,046 votes were recorded in Toole against a total population of 5,153 (39.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Toole a presidential bellwether county?
Toole has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Montana's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).