Stillwater, Montana — Presidential Election Results

Stillwater, Montana has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 42.7 pts more Rep. than Montana overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Montana
2000 George W. Bush Republican 2,765 70.6% 47.0 pts (1,840 votes) 3,918 — 22.6 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 3,090 73.3% 49.0 pts (2,065 votes) 4,213 -0.3 pts 29.2 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 2,991 64.1% 31.7 pts (1,479 votes) 4,667 +17.3 pts 30.4 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 3,337 71.0% 44.4 pts (2,089 votes) 4,702 -12.7 pts 31.5 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 3,661 75.1% 56.5 pts (2,753 votes) 4,873 -14.7 pts 38.0 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 4,462 78.0% 57.8 pts (3,306 votes) 5,724 +1.4 pts 42.1 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 4,699 79.6% 61.7 pts (3,643 votes) 5,906 -4.5 pts 42.7 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 8,247 47.5% of population
2004 8,435 49.9% of population
2008 8,945 52.2% of population
2012 9,166 51.3% of population
2016 9,360 52.1% of population
2020 9,002 63.6% of population
2024 9,450 62.5% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Stillwater shifted 13.4 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+49.9 pts 2004: R+50.2 pts 2008: R+32.8 pts 2012: R+45.6 pts 2016: R+60.3 pts 2020: R+58.8 pts 2024: R+63.3 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Stillwater has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Montana's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Montana Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Stillwater voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Stillwater has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Stillwater?

Stillwater's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 32.8 points (1,479 votes) out of 4,667 total votes cast.

Has Stillwater ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Stillwater has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Stillwater?

The widest margin on record for Stillwater was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 63.3 points.

How many votes were cast in Stillwater relative to its population?

In 2024, 5,906 votes were recorded in Stillwater against a total population of 9,450 (62.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Stillwater a presidential bellwether county?

Stillwater has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Montana's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).