Silver Bow, Montana — Presidential Election Results

Silver Bow, Montana has voted Democratic in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 27.9 pts more Dem. than Montana overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Montana
2000 Al Gore Democratic 8,967 53.7% 16.0 pts (2,668 votes) 16,703 — 44.8 pts more Dem.
2004 John Kerry Democratic 9,307 57.9% 18.2 pts (2,926 votes) 16,084 +1.2 pts 39.7 pts more Dem.
2008 Barack Obama Democratic 11,676 68.8% 40.4 pts (6,858 votes) 16,969 +22.9 pts 44.0 pts more Dem.
2012 Barack Obama Democratic 10,857 64.8% 32.4 pts (5,427 votes) 16,756 -8.3 pts 47.4 pts more Dem.
2016 Hillary Clinton Democratic 8,619 52.4% 13.6 pts (2,243 votes) 16,452 -18.4 pts 37.2 pts more Dem.
2020 Joseph R Biden Jr Democratic 10,392 55.7% 14.2 pts (2,647 votes) 18,658 -0.4 pts 31.4 pts more Dem.
2024 Kamala D Harris Democratic 9,386 51.5% 7.0 pts (1,276 votes) 18,226 -7.3 pts 27.9 pts more Dem.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 34,571 48.3% of population
2004 33,416 48.1% of population
2008 33,812 50.2% of population
2012 34,474 48.6% of population
2016 34,696 47.4% of population
2020 35,210 53.0% of population
2024 36,134 50.4% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Silver Bow shifted 10.2 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: D+17.5 pts 2004: D+18.7 pts 2008: D+41.6 pts 2012: D+33.3 pts 2016: D+15.0 pts 2020: D+14.6 pts 2024: D+7.3 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Silver Bow has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Montana's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Montana Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Silver Bow voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Silver Bow has voted Democratic in 7 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 0 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Silver Bow?

Silver Bow's closest recorded margin was in 2024, when Kamala D Harris (Democratic) won by 7.3 points (1,276 votes) out of 18,226 total votes cast.

Has Silver Bow ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Silver Bow has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Silver Bow?

The widest margin on record for Silver Bow was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 41.6 points.

How many votes were cast in Silver Bow relative to its population?

In 2024, 18,226 votes were recorded in Silver Bow against a total population of 36,134 (50.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Silver Bow a presidential bellwether county?

Silver Bow has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Montana's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%).