Prairie, Montana — Presidential Election Results
Prairie, Montana has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 42.9 pts more Rep. than Montana overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Montana |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 541 | 72.5% | 50.5 pts (377 votes) | 746 | — | 26.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 546 | 74.2% | 49.6 pts (365 votes) | 736 | +3.3 pts | 29.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 503 | 60.6% | 35.2 pts (292 votes) | 830 | +9.3 pts | 38.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 520 | 74.0% | 50.2 pts (353 votes) | 703 | -10.5 pts | 37.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 556 | 80.7% | 66.2 pts (456 votes) | 689 | -18.1 pts | 47.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 603 | 81.0% | 64.1 pts (477 votes) | 744 | +4.1 pts | 48.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 546 | 79.4% | 61.6 pts (424 votes) | 688 | +2.0 pts | 42.9 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 1,179 | 63.3% of population |
| 2004 | 1,153 | 63.8% of population |
| 2008 | 1,123 | 73.9% of population |
| 2012 | 1,141 | 61.6% of population |
| 2016 | 1,159 | 59.4% of population |
| 2020 | 1,090 | 68.3% of population |
| 2024 | 1,112 | 61.9% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Prairie shifted 10.0 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Prairie has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Montana's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Montana Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Prairie voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Prairie has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Prairie?
Prairie's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 40.9 points (292 votes) out of 830 total votes cast.
Has Prairie ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Prairie has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Prairie?
The widest margin on record for Prairie was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 69.5 points.
How many votes were cast in Prairie relative to its population?
In 2024, 688 votes were recorded in Prairie against a total population of 1,112 (61.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Prairie a presidential bellwether county?
Prairie has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Montana's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).