Pondera, Montana — Presidential Election Results
Pondera, Montana has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 22.6 pts more Rep. than Montana overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Montana |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,948 | 67.3% | 39.9 pts (1,156 votes) | 2,896 | — | 14.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,853 | 64.8% | 31.4 pts (897 votes) | 2,860 | +10.3 pts | 10.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 1,588 | 55.0% | 12.7 pts (365 votes) | 2,885 | +18.9 pts | 10.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 1,673 | 61.5% | 25.7 pts (698 votes) | 2,719 | -13.4 pts | 12.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 1,799 | 66.1% | 39.0 pts (1,061 votes) | 2,723 | -15.5 pts | 19.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 2,031 | 67.8% | 37.7 pts (1,128 votes) | 2,995 | +3.4 pts | 21.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 1,972 | 69.1% | 41.7 pts (1,190 votes) | 2,852 | -4.8 pts | 22.6 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 6,384 | 45.4% of population |
| 2004 | 6,140 | 46.6% of population |
| 2008 | 6,117 | 47.2% of population |
| 2012 | 6,150 | 44.2% of population |
| 2016 | 6,035 | 45.1% of population |
| 2020 | 5,877 | 51.0% of population |
| 2024 | 6,078 | 46.9% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Pondera shifted 1.0 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Pondera has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Montana's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Montana Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Pondera voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Pondera has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Pondera?
Pondera's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 13.0 points (365 votes) out of 2,885 total votes cast.
Has Pondera ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Pondera has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Pondera?
The widest margin on record for Pondera was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 43.2 points.
How many votes were cast in Pondera relative to its population?
In 2024, 2,852 votes were recorded in Pondera against a total population of 6,078 (46.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Pondera a presidential bellwether county?
Pondera has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Montana's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).