Meagher, Montana — Presidential Election Results
Meagher, Montana has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 34.7 pts more Rep. than Montana overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Montana |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 698 | 74.7% | 55.8 pts (522 votes) | 935 | — | 32.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 698 | 71.7% | 46.4 pts (451 votes) | 973 | +12.0 pts | 26.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 624 | 64.6% | 33.7 pts (326 votes) | 966 | +12.4 pts | 32.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 670 | 68.9% | 41.3 pts (401 votes) | 972 | -7.3 pts | 28.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 729 | 74.6% | 54.9 pts (536 votes) | 977 | -15.4 pts | 35.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 833 | 75.0% | 51.8 pts (575 votes) | 1,110 | +5.4 pts | 35.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 888 | 75.8% | 53.9 pts (632 votes) | 1,172 | -2.5 pts | 34.7 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 1,916 | 48.8% of population |
| 2004 | 1,935 | 50.3% of population |
| 2008 | 1,893 | 51.0% of population |
| 2012 | 1,886 | 51.5% of population |
| 2016 | 1,845 | 53.0% of population |
| 2020 | 1,924 | 57.7% of population |
| 2024 | 2,065 | 56.8% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Meagher shifted 4.5 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Meagher has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Montana's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Montana Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Meagher voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Meagher has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Meagher?
Meagher's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 35.4 points (326 votes) out of 966 total votes cast.
Has Meagher ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Meagher has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Meagher?
The widest margin on record for Meagher was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 59.7 points.
How many votes were cast in Meagher relative to its population?
In 2024, 1,172 votes were recorded in Meagher against a total population of 2,065 (56.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Meagher a presidential bellwether county?
Meagher has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Montana's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).