Madison, Montana — Presidential Election Results
Madison, Montana has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 25.8 pts more Rep. than Montana overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Montana |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,656 | 72.6% | 51.9 pts (1,898 votes) | 3,656 | — | 28.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,868 | 72.9% | 47.9 pts (1,885 votes) | 3,933 | +6.6 pts | 27.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 2,822 | 61.8% | 26.6 pts (1,215 votes) | 4,568 | +21.5 pts | 25.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 3,130 | 69.1% | 40.6 pts (1,841 votes) | 4,530 | -14.2 pts | 27.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 3,297 | 69.0% | 44.3 pts (2,117 votes) | 4,778 | -5.6 pts | 25.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 4,191 | 68.9% | 39.8 pts (2,420 votes) | 6,087 | +6.7 pts | 23.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 4,615 | 71.4% | 45.3 pts (2,926 votes) | 6,461 | -5.8 pts | 25.8 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 6,870 | 53.2% of population |
| 2004 | 6,999 | 56.2% of population |
| 2008 | 7,674 | 59.5% of population |
| 2012 | 7,663 | 59.1% of population |
| 2016 | 8,062 | 59.3% of population |
| 2020 | 8,661 | 70.3% of population |
| 2024 | 9,753 | 66.2% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Madison shifted 9.2 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Madison has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Montana's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Montana Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Madison voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Madison has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Madison?
Madison's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 27.4 points (1,215 votes) out of 4,568 total votes cast.
Has Madison ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Madison has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Madison?
The widest margin on record for Madison was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 55.6 points.
How many votes were cast in Madison relative to its population?
In 2024, 6,461 votes were recorded in Madison against a total population of 9,753 (66.2% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Madison a presidential bellwether county?
Madison has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Montana's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).