Hill, Montana — Presidential Election Results
Hill, Montana has voted Republican in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2016. In 2024, it was 1.6 pts more Dem. than Montana overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Montana |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,392 | 51.7% | 9.6 pts (632 votes) | 6,558 | — | 17.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,505 | 52.7% | 7.6 pts (508 votes) | 6,657 | +2.5 pts | 13.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 3,596 | 54.0% | 12.1 pts (809 votes) | 6,661 | +20.5 pts | 15.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 3,403 | 49.9% | 3.5 pts (239 votes) | 6,820 | -9.0 pts | 17.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 3,478 | 54.0% | 17.2 pts (1,107 votes) | 6,445 | -22.6 pts | 3.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 3,957 | 55.1% | 13.6 pts (976 votes) | 7,182 | +4.9 pts | 2.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 3,871 | 56.9% | 18.2 pts (1,237 votes) | 6,804 | -4.9 pts | 1.6 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 16,605 | 39.5% of population |
| 2004 | 15,947 | 41.7% of population |
| 2008 | 15,889 | 41.9% of population |
| 2012 | 16,396 | 41.6% of population |
| 2016 | 16,448 | 39.2% of population |
| 2020 | 16,253 | 44.2% of population |
| 2024 | 16,065 | 42.4% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Hill shifted 8.7 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Hill has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and Montana's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Montana Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Hill voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Hill has voted Democratic in 2 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 5 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Hill?
Hill's closest recorded margin was in 2012, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 3.6 points (239 votes) out of 6,820 total votes cast.
Has Hill ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Hill changed which party won the county in: 2008, 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Hill?
The widest margin on record for Hill was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 19.0 points.
How many votes were cast in Hill relative to its population?
In 2024, 6,804 votes were recorded in Hill against a total population of 16,065 (42.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Hill a presidential bellwether county?
Hill has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and Montana's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%).