St. Joseph, Michigan — Presidential Election Results
St. Joseph, Michigan has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 33.0 pts more Rep. than Michigan overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Michigan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 12,906 | 58.6% | 19.7 pts (4,332 votes) | 22,024 | — | 25.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 15,340 | 60.8% | 22.6 pts (5,692 votes) | 25,239 | -2.6 pts | 26.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 12,886 | 50.1% | 2.2 pts (564 votes) | 25,702 | +20.5 pts | 19.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 12,978 | 55.6% | 12.3 pts (2,866 votes) | 23,341 | -10.2 pts | 22.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 14,884 | 62.7% | 31.0 pts (7,358 votes) | 23,757 | -20.4 pts | 32.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 18,127 | 64.9% | 31.7 pts (8,865 votes) | 27,936 | +0.5 pts | 35.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 19,403 | 66.2% | 34.0 pts (9,951 votes) | 29,307 | -2.1 pts | 33.0 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 62,480 | 35.2% of population |
| 2004 | 62,265 | 40.5% of population |
| 2008 | 62,083 | 41.4% of population |
| 2012 | 60,992 | 38.3% of population |
| 2016 | 60,790 | 39.1% of population |
| 2020 | 60,942 | 45.8% of population |
| 2024 | 61,171 | 47.9% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in St. Joseph shifted 14.3 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
St. Joseph has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Michigan's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Michigan Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has St. Joseph voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, St. Joseph has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in St. Joseph?
St. Joseph's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 2.2 points (564 votes) out of 25,702 total votes cast.
Has St. Joseph ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- St. Joseph has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in St. Joseph?
The widest margin on record for St. Joseph was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 34.5 points.
How many votes were cast in St. Joseph relative to its population?
In 2024, 29,307 votes were recorded in St. Joseph against a total population of 61,171 (47.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is St. Joseph a presidential bellwether county?
St. Joseph has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Michigan's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).