Berrien, Michigan — Presidential Election Results
Berrien, Michigan has voted Republican in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2012. In 2024, it was 6.5 pts more Rep. than Michigan overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Michigan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 35,689 | 54.7% | 11.6 pts (7,537 votes) | 65,241 | — | 17.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 41,076 | 55.0% | 11.0 pts (8,230 votes) | 74,671 | +0.7 pts | 14.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 40,381 | 52.0% | 5.5 pts (4,251 votes) | 77,666 | +16.7 pts | 11.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 38,209 | 52.7% | 6.5 pts (4,744 votes) | 72,497 | -12.2 pts | 16.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 38,647 | 53.7% | 12.7 pts (9,152 votes) | 72,031 | -6.8 pts | 13.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 43,519 | 52.8% | 7.4 pts (6,081 votes) | 82,391 | +5.9 pts | 10.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 44,975 | 53.2% | 7.9 pts (6,652 votes) | 84,488 | -0.5 pts | 6.5 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 162,471 | 40.2% of population |
| 2004 | 159,742 | 46.7% of population |
| 2008 | 157,380 | 49.3% of population |
| 2012 | 156,621 | 46.3% of population |
| 2016 | 154,325 | 46.7% of population |
| 2020 | 154,426 | 53.4% of population |
| 2024 | 152,703 | 55.3% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Berrien shifted 3.8 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Berrien has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Michigan's own statewide winner in 3 of 7 (43%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Michigan Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Berrien voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Berrien has voted Democratic in 1 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 6 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Berrien?
Berrien's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 5.6 points (4,251 votes) out of 77,666 total votes cast.
Has Berrien ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Berrien changed which party won the county in: 2008, 2012, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Berrien?
The widest margin on record for Berrien was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 13.4 points.
How many votes were cast in Berrien relative to its population?
In 2024, 84,488 votes were recorded in Berrien against a total population of 152,703 (55.3% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Berrien a presidential bellwether county?
Berrien has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Michigan's own statewide winner in 3 of 7 (43%).