Arenac, Michigan — Presidential Election Results
Arenac, Michigan has voted Republican in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2012. In 2024, it was 39.7 pts more Rep. than Michigan overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Michigan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 3,685 | 50.7% | 3.6 pts (264 votes) | 7,267 | — | 1.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 4,076 | 49.6% | 0.1 pts (5 votes) | 8,216 | -3.7 pts | 3.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 4,155 | 51.1% | 4.3 pts (348 votes) | 8,128 | +4.3 pts | 12.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 4,057 | 51.7% | 4.9 pts (388 votes) | 7,841 | -9.4 pts | 14.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 4,950 | 64.3% | 33.3 pts (2,566 votes) | 7,696 | -30.0 pts | 34.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 5,928 | 67.1% | 35.7 pts (3,154 votes) | 8,831 | -1.3 pts | 39.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 6,379 | 69.7% | 40.6 pts (3,717 votes) | 9,158 | -4.9 pts | 39.7 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 17,278 | 42.1% of population |
| 2004 | 17,128 | 48.0% of population |
| 2008 | 16,547 | 49.1% of population |
| 2012 | 15,502 | 50.6% of population |
| 2016 | 15,138 | 50.8% of population |
| 2020 | 15,009 | 58.8% of population |
| 2024 | 15,087 | 60.7% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Arenac shifted 44.8 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Arenac has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Michigan's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Michigan Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Arenac voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Arenac has voted Democratic in 3 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 4 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Arenac?
Arenac's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when John Kerry (Democratic) won by 0.1 points (5 votes) out of 8,216 total votes cast.
Has Arenac ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Arenac changed which party won the county in: 2012, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Arenac?
The widest margin on record for Arenac was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 41.1 points.
How many votes were cast in Arenac relative to its population?
In 2024, 9,158 votes were recorded in Arenac against a total population of 15,087 (60.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Arenac a presidential bellwether county?
Arenac has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Michigan's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%).