St. Clair, Michigan — Presidential Election Results
St. Clair, Michigan has voted Republican in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2012. In 2024, it was 33.7 pts more Rep. than Michigan overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Michigan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 33,571 | 49.0% | 0.8 pts (569 votes) | 68,516 | — | 6.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 42,740 | 53.6% | 8.2 pts (6,566 votes) | 79,743 | -7.5 pts | 11.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 40,677 | 50.3% | 2.6 pts (2,141 votes) | 80,900 | +11.0 pts | 14.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 39,271 | 52.9% | 7.1 pts (5,288 votes) | 74,181 | -9.9 pts | 16.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 49,051 | 62.9% | 31.4 pts (24,498 votes) | 78,003 | -26.1 pts | 33.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 59,185 | 64.3% | 30.2 pts (27,822 votes) | 92,064 | +2.6 pts | 33.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 64,277 | 66.6% | 34.6 pts (33,433 votes) | 96,524 | -4.4 pts | 33.7 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 164,621 | 41.6% of population |
| 2004 | 168,457 | 47.3% of population |
| 2008 | 165,959 | 48.7% of population |
| 2012 | 160,625 | 46.2% of population |
| 2016 | 159,369 | 48.9% of population |
| 2020 | 160,394 | 57.4% of population |
| 2024 | 160,308 | 60.2% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in St. Clair shifted 34.3 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
St. Clair has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Michigan's own statewide winner in 3 of 7 (43%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Michigan Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has St. Clair voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, St. Clair has voted Democratic in 1 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 6 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in St. Clair?
St. Clair's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 0.9 points (569 votes) out of 68,516 total votes cast.
Has St. Clair ever flipped between parties?
Yes. St. Clair changed which party won the county in: 2008, 2012, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in St. Clair?
The widest margin on record for St. Clair was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 35.1 points.
How many votes were cast in St. Clair relative to its population?
In 2024, 96,524 votes were recorded in St. Clair against a total population of 160,308 (60.2% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is St. Clair a presidential bellwether county?
St. Clair has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Michigan's own statewide winner in 3 of 7 (43%).