Shiawassee, Michigan — Presidential Election Results
Shiawassee, Michigan has voted Republican in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2016. In 2024, it was 22.0 pts more Rep. than Michigan overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Michigan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 15,816 | 49.1% | 0.9 pts (296 votes) | 32,218 | — | 6.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 19,407 | 53.0% | 6.9 pts (2,526 votes) | 36,651 | -6.0 pts | 10.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 19,397 | 53.3% | 8.6 pts (3,129 votes) | 36,415 | +15.7 pts | 8.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 17,197 | 51.1% | 3.7 pts (1,235 votes) | 33,679 | -5.0 pts | 5.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 19,230 | 56.4% | 19.6 pts (6,684 votes) | 34,111 | -24.8 pts | 20.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 23,149 | 59.0% | 19.9 pts (7,802 votes) | 39,224 | +0.8 pts | 23.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 24,718 | 60.8% | 23.1 pts (9,383 votes) | 40,685 | -3.2 pts | 22.0 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 71,714 | 44.9% of population |
| 2004 | 73,034 | 50.2% of population |
| 2008 | 71,523 | 50.9% of population |
| 2012 | 69,329 | 48.6% of population |
| 2016 | 68,542 | 49.8% of population |
| 2020 | 68,004 | 57.7% of population |
| 2024 | 67,982 | 59.8% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Shiawassee shifted 22.5 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Shiawassee has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and Michigan's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Michigan Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Shiawassee voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Shiawassee has voted Democratic in 2 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 5 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Shiawassee?
Shiawassee's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 0.9 points (296 votes) out of 32,218 total votes cast.
Has Shiawassee ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Shiawassee changed which party won the county in: 2008, 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Shiawassee?
The widest margin on record for Shiawassee was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 23.4 points.
How many votes were cast in Shiawassee relative to its population?
In 2024, 40,685 votes were recorded in Shiawassee against a total population of 67,982 (59.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Shiawassee a presidential bellwether county?
Shiawassee has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and Michigan's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).