Ontonagon, Michigan — Presidential Election Results
Ontonagon, Michigan has voted Republican in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2012. In 2024, it was 29.3 pts more Rep. than Michigan overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Michigan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,472 | 59.6% | 23.1 pts (958 votes) | 4,151 | — | 29.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,262 | 54.0% | 9.5 pts (399 votes) | 4,192 | +14.4 pts | 13.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 1,966 | 50.6% | 3.7 pts (143 votes) | 3,885 | +13.4 pts | 13.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 1,906 | 53.9% | 9.0 pts (320 votes) | 3,539 | -12.9 pts | 18.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 2,066 | 60.3% | 26.0 pts (890 votes) | 3,426 | -18.3 pts | 27.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 2,358 | 62.0% | 25.4 pts (967 votes) | 3,804 | +1.7 pts | 28.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 2,479 | 64.5% | 30.4 pts (1,166 votes) | 3,841 | -5.0 pts | 29.3 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 7,825 | 53.0% of population |
| 2004 | 7,497 | 55.9% of population |
| 2008 | 6,922 | 56.1% of population |
| 2012 | 6,413 | 55.2% of population |
| 2016 | 5,939 | 57.7% of population |
| 2020 | 5,803 | 65.6% of population |
| 2024 | 5,824 | 66.0% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Ontonagon shifted 6.7 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Ontonagon has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Michigan's own statewide winner in 3 of 7 (43%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Michigan Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Ontonagon voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Ontonagon has voted Democratic in 1 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 6 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Ontonagon?
Ontonagon's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 3.8 points (143 votes) out of 3,885 total votes cast.
Has Ontonagon ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Ontonagon changed which party won the county in: 2008, 2012, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Ontonagon?
The widest margin on record for Ontonagon was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 30.7 points.
How many votes were cast in Ontonagon relative to its population?
In 2024, 3,841 votes were recorded in Ontonagon against a total population of 5,824 (66.0% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Ontonagon a presidential bellwether county?
Ontonagon has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Michigan's own statewide winner in 3 of 7 (43%).