Montcalm, Michigan — Presidential Election Results
Montcalm, Michigan has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 38.1 pts more Rep. than Michigan overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Michigan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 12,696 | 55.4% | 13.4 pts (3,069 votes) | 22,904 | — | 19.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 14,968 | 56.0% | 13.1 pts (3,497 votes) | 26,734 | +0.5 pts | 16.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 13,291 | 49.1% | 0.3 pts (83 votes) | 27,051 | +12.9 pts | 17.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 13,621 | 53.6% | 8.6 pts (2,191 votes) | 25,431 | -8.4 pts | 18.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 16,907 | 63.5% | 33.9 pts (9,033 votes) | 26,609 | -27.7 pts | 36.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 21,815 | 68.0% | 37.7 pts (12,112 votes) | 32,100 | -2.0 pts | 41.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 23,946 | 68.7% | 39.0 pts (13,578 votes) | 34,845 | -1.1 pts | 38.1 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 61,484 | 37.3% of population |
| 2004 | 63,482 | 42.1% of population |
| 2008 | 63,635 | 42.5% of population |
| 2012 | 63,096 | 40.3% of population |
| 2016 | 62,953 | 42.3% of population |
| 2020 | 66,659 | 48.2% of population |
| 2024 | 69,314 | 50.3% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Montcalm shifted 25.8 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Montcalm has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Michigan's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Michigan Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Montcalm voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Montcalm has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Montcalm?
Montcalm's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 0.3 points (83 votes) out of 27,051 total votes cast.
Has Montcalm ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Montcalm has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Montcalm?
The widest margin on record for Montcalm was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 39.6 points.
How many votes were cast in Montcalm relative to its population?
In 2024, 34,845 votes were recorded in Montcalm against a total population of 69,314 (50.3% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Montcalm a presidential bellwether county?
Montcalm has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Michigan's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).