Menominee, Michigan — Presidential Election Results

Menominee, Michigan has voted Republican in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2012. In 2024, it was 32.6 pts more Rep. than Michigan overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Michigan
2000 George W. Bush Republican 5,529 53.0% 8.9 pts (932 votes) 10,434 — 14.5 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 5,942 52.0% 5.4 pts (616 votes) 11,419 +3.7 pts 8.9 pts more Rep.
2008 Barack Obama Democratic 5,981 54.0% 10.2 pts (1,126 votes) 11,072 +15.9 pts 6.4 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 5,564 50.9% 2.9 pts (322 votes) 10,923 -13.4 pts 12.6 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 6,702 62.2% 29.4 pts (3,163 votes) 10,768 -27.9 pts 30.7 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 8,117 64.4% 30.1 pts (3,801 votes) 12,607 +0.3 pts 33.4 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 8,647 66.2% 33.6 pts (4,391 votes) 13,060 -3.5 pts 32.6 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 25,281 41.3% of population
2004 24,987 45.7% of population
2008 24,317 45.5% of population
2012 23,731 46.0% of population
2016 23,208 46.4% of population
2020 23,450 53.8% of population
2024 23,050 56.7% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Menominee shifted 24.8 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+9.2 pts 2004: R+5.5 pts 2008: D+10.4 pts 2012: R+3.0 pts 2016: R+30.9 pts 2020: R+30.6 pts 2024: R+34.0 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Menominee has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Michigan's own statewide winner in 3 of 7 (43%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Michigan Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Menominee voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Menominee has voted Democratic in 1 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 6 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Menominee?

Menominee's closest recorded margin was in 2012, when Mitt Romney (Republican) won by 3.0 points (322 votes) out of 10,923 total votes cast.

Has Menominee ever flipped between parties?

Yes. Menominee changed which party won the county in: 2008, 2012, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Menominee?

The widest margin on record for Menominee was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 34.0 points.

How many votes were cast in Menominee relative to its population?

In 2024, 13,060 votes were recorded in Menominee against a total population of 23,050 (56.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Menominee a presidential bellwether county?

Menominee has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Michigan's own statewide winner in 3 of 7 (43%).