Luce, Michigan — Presidential Election Results
Luce, Michigan has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 46.2 pts more Rep. than Michigan overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Michigan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,480 | 58.4% | 20.7 pts (524 votes) | 2,536 | — | 26.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,749 | 61.8% | 24.9 pts (704 votes) | 2,829 | -3.7 pts | 28.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 1,490 | 54.4% | 10.9 pts (299 votes) | 2,740 | +14.0 pts | 27.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 1,580 | 60.9% | 22.7 pts (589 votes) | 2,596 | -11.8 pts | 32.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 1,756 | 68.1% | 41.7 pts (1,075 votes) | 2,579 | -21.2 pts | 43.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 2,109 | 70.3% | 42.2 pts (1,267 votes) | 3,001 | +1.2 pts | 45.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 2,170 | 72.7% | 46.9 pts (1,401 votes) | 2,985 | -4.7 pts | 46.2 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 7,006 | 36.2% of population |
| 2004 | 6,894 | 41.0% of population |
| 2008 | 6,680 | 41.0% of population |
| 2012 | 6,479 | 40.1% of population |
| 2016 | 6,335 | 40.7% of population |
| 2020 | 6,410 | 46.8% of population |
| 2024 | 6,328 | 47.2% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Luce shifted 26.2 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Luce has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Michigan's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Michigan Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Luce voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Luce has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Luce?
Luce's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 11.2 points (299 votes) out of 2,740 total votes cast.
Has Luce ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Luce has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Luce?
The widest margin on record for Luce was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 47.7 points.
How many votes were cast in Luce relative to its population?
In 2024, 2,985 votes were recorded in Luce against a total population of 6,328 (47.2% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Luce a presidential bellwether county?
Luce has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Michigan's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).