Lenawee, Michigan — Presidential Election Results
Lenawee, Michigan has voted Republican in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2012. In 2024, it was 21.9 pts more Rep. than Michigan overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Michigan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 20,681 | 51.6% | 5.8 pts (2,316 votes) | 40,093 | — | 11.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 25,675 | 54.6% | 10.4 pts (4,888 votes) | 47,012 | -4.6 pts | 14.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 24,640 | 51.6% | 5.1 pts (2,415 votes) | 47,734 | +15.7 pts | 11.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 22,351 | 50.0% | 1.3 pts (575 votes) | 44,724 | -6.5 pts | 10.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 26,430 | 57.5% | 21.1 pts (9,680 votes) | 45,939 | -21.1 pts | 22.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 31,541 | 59.1% | 19.9 pts (10,623 votes) | 53,375 | +2.2 pts | 23.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 33,463 | 60.8% | 23.0 pts (12,676 votes) | 55,016 | -3.1 pts | 21.9 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 99,069 | 40.5% of population |
| 2004 | 101,216 | 46.4% of population |
| 2008 | 101,169 | 47.2% of population |
| 2012 | 99,021 | 45.2% of population |
| 2016 | 98,496 | 46.6% of population |
| 2020 | 99,318 | 53.7% of population |
| 2024 | 97,746 | 56.3% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Lenawee shifted 17.4 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Lenawee has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Michigan's own statewide winner in 3 of 7 (43%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Michigan Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Lenawee voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Lenawee has voted Democratic in 1 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 6 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Lenawee?
Lenawee's closest recorded margin was in 2012, when Mitt Romney (Republican) won by 1.3 points (575 votes) out of 44,724 total votes cast.
Has Lenawee ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Lenawee changed which party won the county in: 2008, 2012, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Lenawee?
The widest margin on record for Lenawee was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 23.4 points.
How many votes were cast in Lenawee relative to its population?
In 2024, 55,016 votes were recorded in Lenawee against a total population of 97,746 (56.3% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Lenawee a presidential bellwether county?
Lenawee has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Michigan's own statewide winner in 3 of 7 (43%).