Isabella, Michigan — Presidential Election Results

Isabella, Michigan has voted Democratic in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2016. In 2024, it was 6.2 pts more Rep. than Michigan overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Michigan
2000 Al Gore Democratic 10,228 48.5% 0.8 pts (175 votes) 21,069 — 4.4 pts more Rep.
2004 John Kerry Democratic 12,334 50.6% 2.4 pts (580 votes) 24,390 +1.5 pts 1.0 pts more Rep.
2008 Barack Obama Democratic 16,679 58.8% 19.3 pts (5,459 votes) 28,350 +17.2 pts 2.8 pts more Dem.
2012 Barack Obama Democratic 13,038 54.1% 9.3 pts (2,238 votes) 24,119 -10.2 pts 0.2 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 12,338 48.6% 3.7 pts (934 votes) 25,392 -13.3 pts 3.7 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 14,815 50.4% 2.5 pts (743 votes) 29,421 +1.4 pts 5.4 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 16,320 52.9% 7.5 pts (2,309 votes) 30,835 -5.0 pts 6.2 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 63,444 33.2% of population
2004 67,067 36.4% of population
2008 69,328 40.9% of population
2012 70,666 34.1% of population
2016 71,263 35.6% of population
2020 64,521 45.6% of population
2024 65,072 47.4% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Isabella shifted 8.5 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: D+0.9 pts 2004: D+2.4 pts 2008: D+19.6 pts 2012: D+9.4 pts 2016: R+3.9 pts 2020: R+2.6 pts 2024: R+7.6 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Isabella has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Michigan's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Michigan Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Isabella voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Isabella has voted Democratic in 4 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 3 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Isabella?

Isabella's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when Al Gore (Democratic) won by 0.9 points (175 votes) out of 21,069 total votes cast.

Has Isabella ever flipped between parties?

Yes. Isabella changed which party won the county in: 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Isabella?

The widest margin on record for Isabella was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 19.6 points.

How many votes were cast in Isabella relative to its population?

In 2024, 30,835 votes were recorded in Isabella against a total population of 65,072 (47.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Isabella a presidential bellwether county?

Isabella has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Michigan's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).