Winnebago, Wisconsin — Presidential Election Results
Winnebago, Wisconsin has voted Republican in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2016. In 2024, it was 3.9 pts more Rep. than Wisconsin overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Wisconsin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 38,330 | 50.4% | 5.7 pts (4,347 votes) | 76,080 | — | 6.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 46,542 | 52.5% | 6.3 pts (5,599 votes) | 88,596 | -0.4 pts | 6.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 48,167 | 54.9% | 11.7 pts (10,221 votes) | 87,677 | +18.3 pts | 2.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 45,449 | 51.0% | 3.7 pts (3,327 votes) | 89,173 | -8.1 pts | 3.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 43,448 | 49.9% | 7.3 pts (6,394 votes) | 87,144 | -11.7 pts | 7.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 47,796 | 50.8% | 4.0 pts (3,736 votes) | 94,032 | +3.9 pts | 4.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 49,179 | 51.6% | 4.7 pts (4,519 votes) | 95,371 | -0.7 pts | 3.9 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 157,103 | 48.4% of population |
| 2004 | 160,130 | 55.3% of population |
| 2008 | 164,910 | 53.2% of population |
| 2012 | 168,525 | 52.9% of population |
| 2016 | 169,629 | 51.4% of population |
| 2020 | 171,796 | 54.7% of population |
| 2024 | 173,307 | 55.0% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Winnebago shifted 1.2 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Winnebago has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and Wisconsin's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Wisconsin Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Winnebago voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Winnebago has voted Democratic in 2 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 5 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Winnebago?
Winnebago's closest recorded margin was in 2012, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 3.8 points (3,327 votes) out of 89,173 total votes cast.
Has Winnebago ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Winnebago changed which party won the county in: 2008, 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Winnebago?
The widest margin on record for Winnebago was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 11.9 points.
How many votes were cast in Winnebago relative to its population?
In 2024, 95,371 votes were recorded in Winnebago against a total population of 173,307 (55.0% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Winnebago a presidential bellwether county?
Winnebago has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and Wisconsin's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).