Bayfield, Wisconsin — Presidential Election Results

Bayfield, Wisconsin has voted Democratic in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 12.2 pts more Dem. than Wisconsin overall.

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Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Wisconsin
2000 Al Gore Democratic 4,427 53.6% 14.1 pts (1,161 votes) 8,259 — 14.9 pts more Dem.
2004 John Kerry Democratic 5,845 60.3% 21.6 pts (2,091 votes) 9,699 +6.7 pts 21.4 pts more Dem.
2008 Barack Obama Democratic 5,972 63.1% 27.5 pts (2,607 votes) 9,468 +6.1 pts 13.8 pts more Dem.
2012 Barack Obama Democratic 6,033 61.6% 24.8 pts (2,430 votes) 9,788 -2.7 pts 18.3 pts more Dem.
2016 Hillary Clinton Democratic 4,954 52.0% 8.7 pts (829 votes) 9,529 -16.1 pts 9.9 pts more Dem.
2020 Joseph R Biden Jr Democratic 6,147 56.5% 14.1 pts (1,530 votes) 10,880 +5.1 pts 13.6 pts more Dem.
2024 Kamala D Harris Democratic 6,107 54.3% 11.1 pts (1,247 votes) 11,240 -2.8 pts 12.2 pts more Dem.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 15,028 55.0% of population
2004 15,164 64.0% of population
2008 15,160 62.5% of population
2012 15,057 65.0% of population
2016 14,923 63.9% of population
2020 16,238 67.0% of population
2024 16,838 66.8% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Bayfield shifted 3.7 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: D+15.1 pts 2004: D+21.8 pts 2008: D+27.9 pts 2012: D+25.2 pts 2016: D+9.1 pts 2020: D+14.2 pts 2024: D+11.4 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Bayfield has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Wisconsin's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Wisconsin Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Bayfield voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Bayfield has voted Democratic in 7 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 0 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Bayfield?

Bayfield's closest recorded margin was in 2016, when Hillary Clinton (Democratic) won by 9.1 points (829 votes) out of 9,529 total votes cast.

Has Bayfield ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Bayfield has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Bayfield?

The widest margin on record for Bayfield was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 27.9 points.

How many votes were cast in Bayfield relative to its population?

In 2024, 11,240 votes were recorded in Bayfield against a total population of 16,838 (66.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Bayfield a presidential bellwether county?

Bayfield has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Wisconsin's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%).